Indonesia Power Summary

Part 3

Renewables and Energy Transition

Right before Earth Day, we are pleased to share our latest study on Indonesia’s renewable energy (RE) landscape. It covers utility-scale RE, industrial captive RE, and the financing behind them.

Indonesia is the world’s ninth-largest energy-related CO₂ emitter. Emissions have more than doubled since 2000 due to heavy coal use. In February, we shared our analysis on captive coal projects and their financing in Indonesia. Together with this new RE research, it offers a clearer picture of the country’s energy transition.

This release features an Indonesia Renewables Database (you can access the full dataset here), which includes:

  • Renewable Projects
  • Captive Renewable Projects
  • Owner and Geographical Profile
  • Financing Transactions & Financier Profile

Here are some key insights:

  • Gap between targets and reality: Indonesia could reach 35% renewable power by 2035. However, in major nickel-producing regions, coal is still expected to supply 83% – 94% of power. These areas lack local renewable resources. Long-distance transmission and storage may become feasible if transmission grid and energy storage infrastructure catches up, but not in the near term.

  • Delivery gap in RE projects: Many mega-scale projects are announced, but few are delivered. Barriers include limited financing, policy uncertainty, loss of green premium, and technical challenges. Successful commissioning of mega renewable projects remains limited.

  • Shift in financing trends: More RE deals are now backed by sovereign or policy support. Billion-dollar transactions are increasing. At the same time, green finance tools are used less often since 2023, as standards tighten and pricing advantages decline.

  • Case study – PT ENC solar project: The 200MW project shows a workable model. Key factors include a strategic buyer willing to pay a green premium, an operating lease structure to reduce upfront costs, and strong policy support such as tax holidays.

  • A comparative case study analysis: we also examined four cases from Indonesia, South Africa, Zimbabwe, and the DRC to compare how green power financing is being structured for heavy industry in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs).

 

This is the 3rd and final release of Earthwise Institute’s Indonesia Power Summary. The complete project can be found HERE.

Data-derived Insights:

Previous Highlight Outputs:

Indonesia Power Summary, Part 2

Industrial Projects and Owners of Captive Coal

>>>Read More

Indonesia Power Summary, Part 1

Captive Coal Financing

>>>Read More

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